BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Morgan St

Class: 1 Class Rank: 342 Overall: (5-26) Overall Strength =   13.78
Conference: Mid-Eastern Record: (4-11) | District: 1-02 Record: (4-20)

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 11-04-2025 Away    L       8.18  36  86    1  39 (22-12) Virginia               -5.44 *  -44.56                      
 2 11-09-2025 Home    L   *  15.22  56  70    1 202 (20-12) Stetson                 1.60    -15.60                      
 3 11-12-2025 Home    W      21.46  88  49   ZZ 168 ( 0- 2) Washington Advt         7.84 *   31.16                      
 4 11-15-2025 Away    L   *   3.13  47  69    1 288 (15-15) Mt St Mary's          -10.49    -11.51                      
 5 11-18-2025 Home    L      13.62  59  75   ZZ   5 ( 1- 0) Johns Hopkins          -0.00    -16.00                      
 6 11-23-2025 Away    L   *  11.01  56  82    1 166 (18-18) G Washington           -2.61    -23.39                      
 7 11-26-2025 Neutral L     -19.60  35  93    1 113 (14-18) Wake Forest           -33.22    -24.78                      
 8 11-27-2025 Neutral L   *  14.69  44  75    1  67 (29- 6) Rice                    1.07 *  -32.07                      
 9 11-28-2025 Neutral L       3.65  39 101    1  12 (25-11) Kentucky               -9.97 *  -52.03                      
10 12-02-2025 Away    L   *  25.25  66  79    1 155 (17-15) Toledo                 11.63    -24.63                      
11 12-06-2025 Home    L   *  11.42  48  66    1 187 (17-15) UMBC                   -2.20    -15.80                      
12 12-14-2025 Away    L      18.34  56  78    1 122 (11-19) UCF                     4.72    -26.72                      
13 12-16-2025 Away    L      26.32  33  91    1   5 (29- 6) LSU                    12.70 *  -70.70                      
14 12-19-2025 Away    L   *   3.48  34  78    1  76 (21-12) Davidson              -10.14 *  -33.86                      
15 12-21-2025 Away    L   *  20.19  58  65    1 275 (12-18) Loyola MD               6.57    -13.57                      
16 12-30-2025 Away    L   *  29.93  61  63    1 235 (17-14) Towson                 16.31    -18.31                      
17 01-03-2026 Away    L * *  22.66  61  68    1 247 (20-15) MD E Shore              9.04    -16.04                      
18 01-08-2026 Home    W * *  16.34  64  63    1 312 ( 9-20) NC Central              2.72     -1.72                      
19 01-10-2026 Home    L * *  -1.18  59  62    1 356 ( 5-25) S Carolina St         -14.80     11.80                      
20 01-17-2026 Away    W * *  19.83  61  59    1 331 ( 7-23) Delaware St             6.21     -4.21                      
21 01-22-2026 Away    L * *   7.48  52  78    1 196 (18-15) Norfolk St             -6.14    -19.86                      
22 01-24-2026 Away    L * *  23.50  57  71    1 149 (26- 8) Howard                  9.88    -23.88                      
23 01-31-2026 Away    L * *   0.98  45  69    1 302 (10-23) Coppin St             -12.64    -11.36                      
24 02-07-2026 Home    L * *  11.29  53  66    1 247 (20-15) MD E Shore             -2.32    -10.68                      
25 02-12-2026 Away    L * *  17.70  63  66 1  1 312 ( 9-20) NC Central              4.09     -7.09                      
26 02-16-2026 Away    W * *  33.19  73  47    1 356 ( 5-25) S Carolina St          19.57      6.43                      
27 02-21-2026 Home    L * *  -2.54  59  74    1 331 ( 7-23) Delaware St           -16.15      1.15                      
28 02-26-2026 Home    L * *  19.11  60  69    1 196 (18-15) Norfolk St              5.49    -14.49                      
29 02-28-2026 Home    L * *  13.13  65  84    1 149 (26- 8) Howard                 -0.48    -18.52                      
30 03-05-2026 Home    W * *  29.61  64  54    1 302 (10-23) Coppin St              15.99     -5.99                      
31 03-12-2026 Neutral L * *   4.79  43  69    1 196 (18-15) Norfolk St             -8.83    -17.17                      
      Averages              13.62  54.7 71.6

Best game:   33.19 = 26 point win over S Carolina St
Worst game: -19.60 = 58 point loss to Wake Forest
Team stdev:  11.29